Conference title contenders who have a shot to make the 2025 Playoffs

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The Top Five Sleeper Playoff Teams for 2025

With the expanded playoffs, the field is more open than it has ever been in college football. The teams on this list are ranked based on the order of their odds to win their respective conferences, not necessarily their ability to win a national title (although their national title odds are listed).

1. UTAH UTES

Given the Big 12 is as wide open as any Power 4 conference in the nation, and that Utah has a stable program under coach Kyle Wittingham (who is coming off a rare stretch of two consecutive down years), there’s a real chance Utah bounces back in a big way in 2025 and cracks the College Football Playoffs. This year’s Utah team, however, will look quite a bit different than what they’ve had in the past under Wittingham, in an exciting, electric way.  

Utah landed three offensive players from New Mexico in the transfer portal, and they also hired away the Lobos’ offensive coordinator, Jason Beck. Last season, Beck helped New Mexico engineer a top-five rushing offense with quarterback Devon Dampier at the helm. Before arriving in New Mexico, Beck also helped Syracuse turn their offense in 2023. Beck is known for running a diverse scheme and has had success working with quarterbacks.

There’s a lot of optimism around what Beck can do with Dampier, who is a dynamic runner with a big arm. One of Dampier’s signature moments was leading New Mexico to an upset, comeback win over Washington State last year. At New Mexico, Dampier recorded a 7.52 yards per carry in 2024 while putting up almost 4,000 total yards. His development as a quarterback could go a long way in separating Utah from being merely a Big 12 contender to a national one.

Wittingham has overseen hard-nosed, defensive-oriented teams over the years and, under him, Utah has been as good as any program in the country at developing lower-ranked recruits. Utah was active in the portal this year and could be well prepared for the future with an infusion of youth. The Utes reloaded at the skill positions with running back Wayshawn Parker, who earned PAC 12 Freshman of the year honors at Washington State. Parker has an explosive second gear as a runner, and he is also a receiving threat.

The offensive line is, yet again, a strength for Utah. The team returns all five starters from last season, with a pair of NFL-type tackles in Caleb Lomu and Spencer Fano. If it clicks again with Beck and Dampier, Utah could make some noise in the College Football Playoffs. 

The defense, however, experienced plenty of turnover. Utah ranked second in the Big 12 in both scoring defense and fewest yards allowed.

Utah lost several notable defenders from last year’s defense but returns their leading tackler, Tao Johnson, an experienced player with 23 starts, and he’s played both safety and nickelback. Lance Holtzclaw also brings experience on the defensive line, and Lander Barton is also back. Barton is versatile, having forced and recovered a fumble, returned an interception for a touchdown, recorded two sacks, and another interception in 2024.

Last season, the Utes’ offense finished second-worst in the Big 12, so a big bounce-back under Beck and Dampier is needed. Several teams in the conference will be improved, but with the transformation on offense under Beck, the Utes have a chance to be the best of the bunch. The Utes benefit from not having to play road games in back-to-back weeks all season. Utah’s toughest home games include Texas Tech, Arizona State, Colorado, and Kansas State. The Utes travel to West Virginia and Baylor. With an opener against UCLA, the Utes have several intriguing matchups on their schedule.

A 10-win season is not out of the question, especially in a conference where there are questions abound. While a conference title is a lot more likely, Utah is a team that could make a surprise run in the playoffs if things break right.

To Win the Big 12 (FANDUEL): +600

National Title Odds (FANDUEL): +13000

National Title Odds (Bet MGM): Not Listed

What’s the skinny on Utah?

With a new wave of offensive players, the Utes could have one of the nation’s best rushing attacks. Devon Dampier could become a household name by season’s end, and his fit in Jason Beck’s offensive scheme could make Utah a problem for opposing defenses. There’s talent to replace, but Utah has sneaky potential in 2025.

2. LOUISVILLE CARDINALS

Since arriving at Louisville, Jeff Brohm is 19-8 as head coach. He has quietly built a sturdy roster that can compete for an ACC title. This offseason, the Cardinals dipped into the transfer portal hard at certain positions—largely the secondary—and once again will be trotting out a quarterback (Miller Moss) who began his career somewhere else but did not live up to expectations. After playing in seven one-score games last season, going 3-4 along the way, Louisville has reasons to be optimistic about achieving double-digit wins under Brohm in 2025. 

Miller Moss started out the 2024 season at USC on a heater and looked every bit the part of a heralded recruit. Moss lit up LSU in the team’s opener but struggled down the stretch before ultimately being benched because of costly mistakes and inconsistent play. The fifth-year senior, however, has the arm talent and quick release to flourish under Brohm, who has become something of a quarterback whisperer over the last two decades as a coach. A note on Moss: he threw five touchdowns in games last year to help put USC in OT or the second half, the most of any QB in the country (USC finished such games 2-3). Last season, he performed well in the red zone, throwing 19 touchdowns and 0 interceptions when USC was within 19 yards of the opponent’s goal line.

In the backfield, Isaac Brown was electric last season as a freshman and will again help lead a Cardinals offense that finished as the season ranked 13th nationally in yards and 9th in scoring. Brown averaged 7.2 yards per carry, but perhaps more impressive was his 33 explosive runs in 2024. Deion Branch was brought in to coach the receivers, but that group could use a breakout player. Chris Bell has steadily improved, while Decari Collins, on his third ACC school, could be a guy who emerges as a favorite for Moss. 

Louisville has played relatively well on defense the previous two seasons under Ron English, but last season gave up a combined 83 points in their losses to Miami and Notre Dame. There are several players to replace on defense, but Louisville brought in a big haul in the transfer portal to help what has been a slumping unit. The defensive line was a weak point last year, but the added depth and size should help Louisville in 2025. Coastal Carolina transfer Chev Lubin was a top transfer get for Louisville, and he has a chance to make an impact on the edge.

The Cardinals benefit from hosting Clemson (their toughest game), but the Tigers will be plenty motivated (and improved) after losing to Louisville last year. Several of their easier games are at home (Boston College, Cal), but the Cardinals can’t underestimate a visit from their rival, Kentucky, to finish the season. The road slate is trickier than the home schedule, with trips to Virginia Tech, Miami, and SMU.

Even with a loss to Clemson, the Cardinals could stay alive late in the playoff race, but they won’t have much room for error with a second conference loss. Moss has a chance to make the offense exciting again, but Louisville’s playoff chances will come largely down to defense and how the new faces fit into place. 

To Win the ACC (FANDUEL): +750

National Title Odds (FANDUEL): +8000

National Title Odds (Bet MGM): +8000 (Opening Odds: +6600)

What’s the skinny on Louisville?

With a strong supporting cast on offense, Miller Moss has a chance to hit the ground running under Jeff Brohm. Louisville has been close to contending for a playoff spot, and this offense has a chance to be the most explosive yet under Brohm. The schedule has a few potential hiccups, but if Louisville can upset Clemson again and upend SMU, they’ve got a chance to sneak into the playoff bracket.

3. AUBURN TIGERS

There’s no easy road to Atlanta for any SEC team, but Auburn and Missouri (see below) both drew schedules favorable enough to think that both squads can be sleepers in the SEC race.

Much of the optimism at Auburn revolves around Jackson Arnold at quarterback and Keldric Faulk at defensive end. Arnold’s tenure at Oklahoma started out promising but fell apart quickly. Arnold could see a bounce back year under offensive coordinator Derrick Nix, who helped architect offenses at Ole Miss that relied on spreading the ball around. Nix has worked with several wide receivers who have gone on to be future NFL draft picks as well.

Arnold and Auburn have the benefit of fielding potentially the country’s top duo at wide receiver, with Cam Coleman and Eric Singleton Jr. leading the way. Coleman displayed excellent focus at the catch point last year, while Singleton is a burner who can help open up the Tigers offense. The offensive line was bolstered through the transfer portal and Auburn returns several key starters from last year, making this group one of their strengths. If Nix can help Arnold take a step forward, Auburn’s offense has a chance to crack into the top-15 nationally and be a real force in the SEC.

Faulk anchors a deep defensive line, which coordinator Vontrell King-Williams plans to rotate throughout the year. The staff is also high on Amaris Williams after he took a step forward in the spring. Hugh Freeze has hit the transfer portal to help fill holes, and many of his portal signings are expected to contribute in big ways this year.

Auburn’s season, however, comes down to Arnold and how quickly he can mesh with his two star receivers. If the offensive line plays up to its potential, Arnold should have everything he needs to succeed.

The Tigers open their season against Baylor, which is not a gimme, and also host Alabama and Georgia. The road schedule is more favorable, with two of Auburn’s toughest away games being at Texas A&M and Oklahoma. Hugh Freeze is under as much pressure as any coach in the SEC, but in his 12 seasons as a coach, Freeze’s teams have only won less than six games twice. He’ll be depending on his recent transfer portal hauls and two consecutive top-10 recruiting classes to break through in 2025.

There’s reason to think that with their group of stars on offense, the comparative ease of their schedule, and the experience of Freeze, Auburn could become a team that is vying for a playoff bid in the final weeks of the season.

To Win the SEC (FANDUEL): +1900

National Title Odds (FANDUEL): +5500

National Title Odds (Bet MGM): +6600 (Opening Odds: +5000)

What’s the skinny on Auburn?

If the Tigers were not playing in a loaded SEC, they’d be a trendy pick to make the 2025 College Football Playoffs. There are questions about whether the new quarterback, Jackson Arnold, can live up to expectations as a former blue-chip recruit, but he’s got two of the conference’s top receivers, and Auburn’s defensive line could be a force. If the Tigers can pull a few upsets, they’ll have a path to a playoff birth.

4. IOWA HAWKEYES

The Iowa Hawkeyes have been one of the more stable programs in the country under Kirk Ferentz, winning no less than six games only once in the last 25 years and in the process sending a bevy of players to the NFL. Iowa, however, has yet to separate itself as a true Big Ten contender, and thus, is often an afterthought to programs like Ohio State, Penn State, and Michigan. 

The vibe is different heading into 2025, largely because of the potential upgrade Iowa received quarterback with Mark Gronowski coming over from South Dakota State. Gronowski went 49-6 in his career at South Dakota State and finished as a finalist for the Walter Payton Award in 2024. His dual threat ability as a runner is something the Hawkeyes have not seen in a long time, and his play could go a long way in keeping Iowa in the Big Ten race down the stretch. The offensive line is again a strength, while Tim Lester is heading into his second season as offensive coordinator.

Losing Kaleb Johnson to the NFL draft hurts, as Johnson was a big-play merchant in 2024 and ran for 21 touchdowns, but Kamari Moulton and Jaziun Patterson combined for more than 100 carries last season and will lead the way behind an experienced offensive line. After struggling through the air last season, Iowa’s offense should improve with Gronowski but the team desperately needs a playmaker to step up at receiver. 

Iowa’s defense returns a few key players but lost several notable defenders. Under Ferentz, the Hawkeyes have been known develop their players and tend to rely heavily on their juniors and seniors for significant roles. This year is no different, which leaves room for optimism that the players stepping into starting roles, especially on defense, will be up for the task. Giving up big plays hurt Iowa last year, but the defense is poised to be faster this season overall. 

While Gronowski has perhaps the biggest impact on Iowa’s 2025 season, the schedule will go a long way in determining the Hawkeyes’ fate as a real CFP contender. The Hawkeyes get to host Oregon, Indiana and Penn State, arguably their toughest games all season. Iowa’s road trips include visiting USC, Nebraska, Wisconsin and Iowa State.

If the Hawkeyes have any hopes of cracking the playoff committee’s final ranking, they need to defeat either Oregon or Penn State and make it through the rest of their schedule mostly unscathed. Given how strong this conference looks from top to bottom, there’s reason to think Iowa can be this year’s version of Indiana if the Hawkeyes’ offense can take a big step under Gronowski.

To Win the Big Ten (FANDUEL): +3600

National Title Odds (FANDUEL): +19000

National Title Odds (Bet MGM): Not Listed

What’s the skinny on Iowa?

The Hawkeyes have been a perennially ‘good’ team. They have a chance to be better than just good this season, and it starts with their transfer quarterback. For a program that has traditionally relied on its defense to win games, if the Iowa offense can take a step forward, the Hawkeyes have a chance to make noise in 2025, even in a deep Big Ten.

5. MISSOURI TIGERS 

Missouri might not have the flashy name at quarterback, but like Auburn, the Tigers of Missouri will be depending on a transfer quarterback to get them over the hump in 2025. They also benefit from a manageable SEC schedule and an enticing group of players on the defensive line.

After sitting behind Drew Allar at Penn State and receiving limited snaps in 2023 and 2024 (while still recording 19 total touchdowns), Beau Pribula enters this season as a favorite to start for Missouri. Pribula is a dual-threat quarterback who will be asked to carry some of the load as a runner. He is largely unproven at this point, but he arrived at Penn State as one of the top ten dual-threat quarterbacks in 2022.

Losing Luther Burden at receiver will hurt Missouri, but the Tigers return a star-studded offensive line, plus receiver Kevin Coleman Jr. comes over from Mississippi State with a lot of buzz. The offensive line has depth and versatility, giving Missouri arguably one of the top units in the SEC. Left tackle remains a battle, but the Tigers should feel good about their group.

Running back Ahmad Hardy comes over from Louisiana Monroe and last year showed off a nice blend of speed and power (94 broken tackles). The scheme fit for Hardy at Missouri should help him get off to a fast start.

Eli Drinkwitz has been active in the transfer portal, landing players like Pribula and Hardy, but also bolstering the defensive line with players like Damon Wilson. The Tigers lost one of their top recruits from 2024 (Williams Nwaneri, former five-star recruit) but at Georgia last season, Wilson had as many QB pressures as first-round pick Mykel Williams.

If Wilson can become a leader on the defensive front, and other transfer portal finds like Josiah Trotter (son of Jeremiah Trotter) can continue to ascend, the defense should be better for Missouri, given that the offense should be much improved after a down year in 2024. Jalen Catalon also comes over from UNLV and is fresh off a five-interception season, adding depth to the secondary.

The schedule sets up quite favorably for Missouri, as far as an SEC schedule goes. The Tigers get South Carolina, Alabama, and Texas A&M at home. Their road trips include visits to Oklahoma and Auburn. While the conference features several CFP contenders, Missouri has a chance to sneak into the playoff race if things (again) get hairy at the top of the SEC.

To Win the SEC (FANDUEL): +8000

National Title Odds (FANDUEL): +17000

National Title Odds (Bet MGM): Not Listed

What’s the skinny on Missouri?

Like each of the teams on this list, the Tigers have a proven coach and an exciting transfer quarterback. The presumed starter, Beau Pribula, flashed at Penn State in his limited snaps, and Missouri has a strong supporting cast and sturdy offensive line to help aid the quarterback’s transition into being a full-time starter. If Missouri’s defensive line can live up to its potential, the Tigers have a chance to put a wrinkle in the SEC race.

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Four Teams With Bright Futures

The common denominator with all of the teams listed is the quarterback position, with each of the four teams fielding starters who are coming off promising debuts in 2024. It would take a lot for them to make the next step this season and make the playoffs, but there are reasons to like each team heading into the 2025 season.

1. NEBRASKA CORN HUSKERS

Starting with Nebraska, the Corn Huskers have a few things going for them, starting with an experienced college coach and a strong-armed, gun-slinging quarterback.

Nebraska’s conference schedule is also favorable enough to think that Year 3 in Lincoln will be another success for Matt Rhule (at both Baylor and Temple, Rhule’s teams made the biggest leaps in Year 3). Even more, Dana Holgersen is taking over full-time as offensive coordinator, and quarterback Dylan Raiola played some of his best football once Holgersen took over the role full-time late last season.

Add in the fact that transfers Dane Key and Nyziah Hunter were brought in to bolster the receiver room, while former Notre Dame player Rocco Spindler is a plug-and-play at guard, and the Nebraska offense should be much improved after finishing in the middle of the pack in the Big Ten in terms of yards and points per game. Nebraska also went 2-5 in one score games last season, which should improve with Raiola having another year under center.

The secondary is a bright spot for Nebraska, with several of the Corn Huskers starters entering 2025 with loads of starting experience. Marques Watson-Trent comes over from Georgia Southern after earning Sun Belt Player of the Year honors in 2024, and helps solidify the linebacker position. The team is relying on guys like Dasan McCullough to find their old form, but coordinator Tony White is back for his third season and helped Nebraska rank in the top 20 nationally in total defense and scoring each of the previous two years.

If Nebraska is going to separate themselves from the pack in the Big Ten, Raiola needs to take the next step. The true sophomore displayed a nice deep ball last year and plays with a lot of confidence, but there were some mistakes on tape last year that Raiola will need to clean up. With Key and Hunter in the fold, Nebraska’s offense could continue to transform under Holgersen and be the reason the Corn Huskers are in the thick of the Big Ten race late this season.

Nebraska avoids some of the heavy-hitters in the Big Ten, but will have its hands full when Michigan and Michigan State both come to Lincoln. Nebraska also has to host USC and caps its season with a home tilt against Iowa. The road schedule is relatively light, with only trips to Penn State and UCLA appearing daunting.

Like the SEC, the Big Ten will be a dogfight each week, which bodes well for the likes of Nebraska, Washington, and USC (see below). It all needs to break the right way for Nebraska if they’re going to challenge for a trip to Indianapolis, but Rhule has this program trending in the right direction. Maybe it’s time for Nebraska to break through.

To Win the Big TEN (FANDUEL): +3600

National Title Odds (FANDUEL): +13000

Bet MGM Odds: Not Listed

2. ARIZONA STATE SUN DEVILS

Arizona State has an improved chance of making the playoffs again this season simply because they are in the Big 12. The Big 12 will be improved from top to bottom this season, but there is no clear-cut favorite heading into the season, and there are legitimate reasons to think Arizona State could regress.

Part of why Arizona State ranks as low as they do is because of how potentially misleading their remarkable finish to the 2024 season was, but also because the Sun Devils have to replace one of the main engines from last season with the loss of Cam Skattebo.

While Sam Leavitt made a giant leap in his first year as a starter, Skattebo was at many times the focal point of the Arizona State offense and willed them to wins over teams like BYU while also bringing the Sun Devils back into big tilts with teams like Texas. The biggest question mark for Arizona State will be how the offense replaces Skattebo’s energy both on the field and in the locker room.

On the other hand, there are several reasons why the Sun Devils are considered an early favorite to win the Big 12. For starters, they return tons of production on both sides of the ball. Defensively, Arizona State will have 14 players who logged at least 200 snaps last season return this year. Metrics like this matter, and Ohio State is a prime example of how important experience can be for a team contending for a title. There is a nice mix of young talent and several key seniors, especially along the defensive line, on Arizona State’s defense.  

The offensive line is also experienced, with four of five starters from last year returning, plus tackle Jimeto Obigbo coming over from Texas State. Last season, Leavitt showed some real traits that could make him an NFL prospect as early as next spring. Leavitt is mobile, accurate, tough, and smart with the football. Leavitt wasn’t afraid to stretch the field, and only threw six interceptions on 350 pass attempts last season.

The receiver room experienced several injuries late, which led to the emergence of Skattebo at tailback. Skattebo is gone, but Kanye Udoh comes over from Navy and has a chance to be a reliable, workhorse back for the Sun Devils. This year’s group of pass catchers includes a few question marks, with two transfers (Noble Johnson and Jaren Hamilton) potentially playing big roles right away. Jordyn Tyson is a big-play receiver who does some of his best work on contested catches, and will again be a favorite target of Leavitt.

To help bring along the receivers, Kenny Dillingham hired NFL-great Hines Ward. If the offense clicks, and Skattebo’s absence is not a big void, the Sun Devils have a chance to be a high-octane offense with Leavitt at the helm. Last year, Arizona State was 6-2 in one-score games and finished off their season as hot as any team in the country.

Dillingham has been building a strong culture, which should help the Sun Devils navigate what should be a highly competitive conference. As it was last year, the Big 12 seems poised for plenty of parity. On paper, though, Arizona State’s schedule looks open for the taking. Arizona State hosts upstart teams like Texas Tech, TCU, and West Virginia. Their toughest road games will be against Baylor, Utah, Iowa State, and Colorado.

One loss will certainly keep them alive in the Big 12 hunt, but the question is: will they be able to withstand two losses?

To Win the Big 12 (FANDUEL): +650

National Title Odds (FANDUEL): +13000

National Titles Odds (Bet MGM): +9000 (Opening Odds: +9000)

3. USC TROJANS

After coaching three Heisman-winning quarterbacks, all of whom became top NFL draft picks in their respective draft classes, Lincoln Riley’s quarterback factory seems to be slowing down. Miller Moss started off hot before getting benched in favor of Jayden Maiava last season at USC.

In his seven starts last year, Maiva went 6-1, with the only loss coming to Notre Dame. As a dual-threat quarterback, Maiava flashed his playmaking ability and could end up sticking around for 2026 as well. If Maiava falters, Riley has shown he’s unafraid to call upon his young quarterbacks and could very well thrust Husan Longstreet into the action if things go south again in LA. USC played in eight one-score games on the season, and went 2-6 in those contests, with several blown second-half leads along the way. This is where the Trojans must improve the most if they expect to take a step forward in 2025.

Although the offense lost Zachariah Branch to the portal before he could make a serious impact, Ja’Kobi Lane returns after catching 12 touchdowns last season, with half of those coming in the final two games (against Notre Dame, Texas A&M). The Trojans also have a budding star in Makai Lemon, who also finished out 2024 on a hot note. With a full offseason to build chemistry with Maiava, Lane and Lemon could take a big step forward in 2025. Also, Eli Sanders comes over from New Mexico after putting up 1,000 yards in Josh Beck’s high-octane offense, and he adds depth to a retooled running back room at USC.

The defense, while drastically improved from 2023, still managed to allow more than 24 points per game last season. Another year under coordinator D’Anton Lynn should benefit returning players, but while the defense has depth, there are a handful of players who lack experience and will be expected to contribute immediately. Overall, Riley’s ride has been rougher than expected, but he had arguably much less to work with when he took the job at USC than he did when he stepped into the head job at Oklahoma.

While Riley has been steadily bringing in top-20 recruiting classes, his 2026 class is on pace to rank as one of the top recruiting classes in the country. It appears Riley has his quarterback(s) to build around, and with the improved recruiting, USC is poised to contend for a Big Ten title. It just might not be this year. 

To Win the Big TEN (FANDUEL): +1900

National Title Odds (FANDUEL): +8000

National Title Odds (Bet MGM): Not Listed

4. Washington Huskies

Not only does the Big Ten feature true title contenders in Oregon, Penn State, and Ohio State, but the conference is becoming increasingly deeper. Washington had a tough 2024 season after moving from the Pac-12, but the Huskies have reason to be excited about their future in the Big Ten.

Starting with the quarterback, Demond Williams could be a household name by end of the season. Williams only threw 105 passes last year, but he accounted for 10 touchdowns in limited action (8 passing). The young quarterback was sacked 10 times (!) in Washington’s loss to Oregon, and five times against Louisville. Williams might have had some bumps in his two starts last season, but he completed more than 80% of passes in both starts and only threw one interception all season.

Williams will again have a strong receiving corp. Denzel Boston has All-America potential (12 contested catches last year) and the senior has flashed throughout his career while playing with future NFL draft picks. At running back, Jonah Coleman ran for 1,000 yards last season, and was one of many former Arizona players to follow Jedd Fisch from Arizona. While at Arizona, Fisch steadily improved the Wildcats’ roster, going from 1-11 in year one to 10-3 in year three. Regardless, his second year in Seattle should look much better than year one.

There were a lot of moving pieces for Washington last season, but the Huskies seem to have settled on new coordinators on both sides of the ball. Several coordinators have come and gone. If Williams can take a step under Jimmie Doughtery, who was promoted from pass coordinator, the Huskies offense could be a handful for opposing defenses. There are bound to be growing pains after losing a few players to the NFL Draft, but the arrow for Washington is pointing up.

Defensively, the Huskies need to improve at generating plays in the backfield. Last year, the unit took a step back and was largely ineffective in creating tackles for loss. No player recorded more than 3.5 sacks, either. The defense also surrendered 161 yards per game on the ground. Washington has lost several players to the transfer portal, but also brought in key players such as Tacario Davis at cornerback (Arizona) and CJ Christian (FIU) to shore up the secondary. Like the front seven, the secondary last season failed to produce big plays but should improve on their interception total (8).

In 2024, the Huskies were undefeated at home and winless on the road. They enter 2025 on a streak of 20 wins at home. Washington does benefit from having three of their hardest games at home (Ohio State, Illinois, and Oregon) this year. The Huskies tricky road games include Michigan and Maryland. It would likely take Washington playing for the Big Ten Championship for the team to earn serious playoff consideration, but the Huskies look to be significantly improved heading into 2025.

To Win the Big Ten (FANDUEL): +6000

National Title Odds (FANDUEL): +26000

Bet MGM Odds: Not Listed

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