Saquon Barkley and Patrick Surtain II surprised last season by claiming Offensive Player of the Year (OPOY) and Defensive Player of the Year (DPOY) honors. Jayden Daniels and Jared Verse went on to win Offensive Rookie of the Year (OROY) and Defensive Rookie of the Year (DROY). One common thread there is that all four players were on playoff teams.
On the other hand, not one of the four aforementioned players entered the 2024 season as the odds-on favorite. The 2025 season could unfold similarly, and there are several intriguing candidates to consider for these awards. We’ll examine some of our favorites.
As always, do with this information what you will…
My Pick for the 2025 Offensive Player of the Year: Jahymr Gibbs – Detroit Lions RB
After splitting time with David Montgomery as a rookie in 2023, and then receiving an increased workload in 2024 (after an injury to Montgomery), Gibbs heads into 2025 with plenty of excitement about his ability as an every-down back.
Dating back to his time at Georgia Tech and then at Alabama, Gibbs has displayed excellent skills as a receiver, further increasing his value in this offense. Last season, even in a loaded Lions’ offense, Gibbs received 63 targets (71 in 2023) and turned 26 of his 53 receptions into first downs. As a runner, Gibbs recorded 70 first downs last year. Comparatively, Montgomery only recorded 50 first downs on the ground, and has steadily seen his usage get usurped by Gibbs.
Since drafting Gibbs in 2023, the Lions have used him in a two-back committee with Montgomery, but Gibbs’ numbers in 2024 reflect a much more explosive back than what Montgomery offers. In eight games last season, when Gibbs received double-digit carries, he averaged more than 6 yards per carry. It also bares mentioning that Gibbs does his best work before contact (813 of Gibbs’ 1412 rushing yards in 2024 came before contact) whereas Montgomery was better after contact last season (428 of his 775 rushing yards came after contact). Gibbs also lead the league in rushing touchdowns (16) and recorded 20 total touchdowns in 2024.
Detroit used play action more than any team in the league last year, indicating its preference on running the ball and using the run game to open up the pass game. Although Ben Johnson is gone, the run game should remain a focal point of the offense, with Gibbs likely shouldering the load. Moreover, electric backs like Gibbs, who ripped off runs of 20+ yards in ten regular-season games, are the sort of players who can flip games and entice voters. David Montgomery is still a favorite to get touches near the goal line (12 rushing TDs in 2024), but Gibbs’ steady increase of usage over the past two years projects well for him becoming the lead back in Detroit.
The arrow is pointing up on Gibbs, and so long as Detroit’s offense does not significantly regress, there’s reason to think he can build on a breakout 2024 season with a banner year in 2025.
Fanduel Odds: +1300
Bet MGM Odds: +1000
Two Star Receivers Who Could Win OPOY
Ja’Marr Chase – Cincinnati Bengals WR
Coming off a year where he won the NFL’s triple crown, leading the league in receptions, receiving yards, and receiving touchdowns, Chase is playing as well as any offensive skill player in the NFL. He plays in one of the league’s highest-scoring offenses and has an unmatched skill set.
Whereas Offensive Player of the Year honors once went to quarterbacks, a running back or receiver has taken the award home the previous six seasons (and seven of the last eight). In fact, the preseason board for OPOY candidates was top-heavy with skill position players. All of this bodes well for Chase, who got close last season (third in voting), and especially given how heavily Chase is used in the Bengals offense (175 targets in 2024). Since he became a Bengal in 2021, Chase has been the most heavily targeted receiver in the Bengals offense and Cincinnati has finished no worse than the 7th best scoring offense each of those years, other than in 2022 when Joe Burrow missed time to injury.
Burrow clearly has chemistry with Chase that goes back to their LSU days, and for as good as both players were in college, they seem to be playing even better as pros. While other receivers can do certain things well, Chase fits into a rare category of receiver who can do the dirty work and move the chains, but also can bust off a big gain and do much of the work after the catch on his own. His blend of speed, power, balance, and concentration at the catch point makes him an elite receiver and one that can single-handedly flip a game for his team. These things matter to voters.
Cincinnati has made efforts to add pieces to the offense, but Chase remains the focal point for the Bengals’ passing attack, and if he and Burrow can build on their 2024 season, the sky is the limit. For Chase, it feels less of a matter of if, but when he wins OPOY.
FANDUEL Odds: +900
Bet MGM Odds: + 900
Tyreek Hill – Miami Dolphins WR
For several years, Hill was considered to be a top-three receiver in the NFL. While his skill set is still rare, and his impact on the game immeasurable, there’s less buzz about Hill than in years past. Coming off a down year (comparatively), Hill has a chance to bounce back in a big way and remind folks why he’s still one of the most electric players in the league.
Since entering the league in 2016, Hill has recorded fewer than 1,000 yards receiving only three times (one being his rookie year). While he broke out in Kansas City, the Dolphins’ offense took on a new form once Hill arrived in 2022. Part of that has been his fit with Mike McDaniel’s offense in Miami. In their first season together (2022), Hill finished second in voting for OPOY while putting up career highs in receiving yards under McDaniel. Hill then topped his 2022 season in 2023 with a banner year (1,799 yards and 13 touchdowns), while averaging 15.1 yards per reception.
Perhaps no player in the league presents as much of a boom-or-bust prospect for this award, given how much of Hill’s success comes down to the players around him. For as long as Hill has been in Miami, Tua Tagovailoa and the offensive line have either helped or hindered the Dolphins’ offensive success. Jaylen Waddle is also an important piece of the equation here, and in Waddle’s best season (2022), Hill also flourished. Although Miami has several offensive weapons, the recent trade of Jonnu Smith should open up more opportunities for Hill in the passing game.
There are reasonable doubts about Tagovailoa, Waddle, and the line all staying healthy, but if things get back on track for Miami, it will likely have a lot to do with Hill having an impact in the passing game. It also doesn’t hurt that the Dolphins’ defense is expected to see some regression after losing several key players, perhaps presenting more opportunities for Miami to be playing catch-up against their opponents.
The value here is a big reason why Hill made this list, even though he still remains one of the most electric players in the league and impacts the game like few other receivers do.
Update: Hill might be on the trade block, which could either be very good for his 2025 outlook, or very bad.
FANDUEL Odds: +4000
Bet MGM Odds: +3000
One Not So Long Shot for OPOY:
Malik Nabers – New York Giants WR
Like Chase, Nabers possesses a rare skillset for a receiver that makes him one of the most exciting offensive players in the league. While the Giants were plagued with poor quarterback play in 2024, Nabers got his NFL career off to a hot start by posting more than 1,200 yards and 7 touchdowns in 15 games. At times last season, Nabers was the Giants’ offense. He turned 109 catches (from four different quarterbacks) into 55 first downs, and on the season was targeted 170 times. Nabers was a bit boom-or-bust last season, recording touchdown receptions in only five games, despite his volume. But the lack of scoring had a lot to do with New York’s inability to score through the air (the Giants were the league’s worst passing offense in terms of scoring).
New York threw everything at the wall this off-season, hoping to see what sticks. While there are different possible outcomes with each new quarterback, the best-case for Nabers in 2025 is that either Jameis Winston or Jaxson Dart gets the most starts. Last season, Winston helped Jerry Jeudy break out, and Dart has a live arm that could really open up the offense.
Interestingly, Nabers enters the 2025 season with higher odds than Hill, which could indicate that voters are leaning towards the younger stars of the league. Whether that holds true or not will be worth watching in future years.
FANDUEL Odds: +3500
Bet MGM Odds: +3000
My Pick for the 2025 Defensive Player of the Year: Jalen Carter – Philadelphia Eagles DL
This award has several quality candidates, including a few players who are entering the 2025 season with enormous odds. Carter tops the list because he is a fast-rising star on one of the best defenses in the league.
The pedigree has always been there for Carter, and had it not been for off-field issues, he would have likely been a top-three pick in the 2023 NFL Draft. From the start, Carter made an impact for the Eagles, despite receiving only one start and 51% of the snaps that season on defense. In his limited action, Carter recorded six sacks and 9 quarterback hurries. The surrounding talent on Philadelphia’s defense has helped Carter, but he’s starting to show that he’s a one-man wrecking ball.
One of Carter’s strengths is his play-strength. Especially last season, opposing offenses shifted their focus to Carter, and he received a significant amount of double-teams. Despite the extra effort, Carter came up with 6.5 sacks (two of which came in the playoffs) and at times single-handedly wrecked offensive game plans. In 15 regular season starts, Carter still recorded 11 tackles for loss to go along with two forced fumbles. One of his best performances of the 2024 season came against the Los Angeles Rams in the playoffs.
It is worth noting that the Eagles have a much more difficult schedule in 2025, and that Carter put up some of his best statistics when Philadelphia played some of its lowest competition in the regular season. The Eagles also lost Milton Williams, who was highly effective in pressuring the quarterback last season, to free agency, and that could either benefit Carter or hamper his ability to be as effective as he was last year. Philadelphia, however, still has tons of talent on the defensive front, which bodes well for Carter’s floor, and ceiling.
While Aaron Donald won the award in 2020 (and in 2017 & 2018), edge rushers tend to dominate the voting for DPOY. Carter might not ever become Donald, but he’s about as close to the future Hall of Famer as we’ve seen. With more time in Vic Fangio’s defense and a strong supporting cast, Carter has a chance to take another big step forward in year three as a pro.
Fanduel Odds: +2200
Bet MGM Odds: +2000
Two Pass Rushers Who Could Win DPOY
Trey Hendrickson – Cincinnati Bengals EDGE
The Bengals’ defense should look different in 2025 with Al Golden calling the shots and several new players at key positions. One thing remains: Hendrickson is Cincinnati’s best defender, and he’s coming off a season where he led the NFL with 17.5 sacks.
Part of what boosts Hendrickson’s floor as a pass rusher is the fact that the Bengals have one of the league’s most explosive offenses. Cincinnati can score in an instant, putting more stress on opposing offenses and creating more sack opportunities for Hendrickson. One thing that hurts Hendrickson is the fact that he’s the lone star on his defense. The organization is hoping that rookie Shemar Stewart can generate pressure as a pass rusher and draw attention away from Hendrickson. If that happens, and the linebackers and secondary take a step forward under Golden, Hendrickson should again maintain a high floor for sack production.
Since arriving in Cincinnati in 2021, Hendrickson has recorded 57 sacks and has posted no fewer than 24 quarterback hits in each of the last four seasons. He’s been named to four consecutive Pro Bowls as well. Hendrickson’s closing ability on quarterbacks is part of what makes him so dangerous, and even on a struggling defense, Hendrickson is starting to be recognized as one of the league’s elite edge defenders.
After finishing second in voting for DPOY last year, Hendrickson has a chance to close the gap and finally secure the award.
FANDUEL Odds: +3300
Bet MGM Odds: +2000
Jared Verse – LA Rams LB
Coming off a year where he won Defensive Rookie of the Year, Verse could be poised for an even bigger season in 2025.
Heading into the 2024 NFL Draft, Verse was seen as one of the most complete edge players in his class. His ability to play the run while still creating plays in the backfield is part of what made him a first-round talent at Florida State. Verse showed that same ability to set the edge last season, although he admitted to leaving several plays on the field as a rookie. That, plus the fact that he spent the 2025 offseason working out with Aaron Donald, should be plenty motivation to take another big step forward in year two.
As a rookie, Verse recorded 4.5 sacks and 18 quarterback hits. Those numbers show that Verse is effective at generating pressure, but he needs to improve his sack numbers if he is to contend for DPOY. Verse has plenty of talent around him, and the Rams showed in their 2024 playoff run that their front-seven can be ferocious (14 combined sacks in two playoff games). The Rams’ secondary has some questions, but if the defensive line can play like it did at the end of the season, Verse has a chance to create even more plays in the backfield.
FANDUEL Odds: +1500
Bet MGM Odds: +1200
One Long Shot for DPOY
Cooper DeJean – Philadelphia Eagles DB
Like Carter, his fellow teammate, DeJean was not thrown into the fire as a rookie in Philadelphia. But once DeJean became a starter (week six), the Eagles’ defense became one of the best units in the league. Philadelphia’s depth prevented DeJean from starting immediately last year, but he enters 2025 as a clear-cut starter and a building block for Fangio. Coming off a stellar performance in the Super Bowl, DeJean is quickly becoming regarded as one of the top nickel corners in the league and has great position versatility.
Going back to his days at Iowa, DeJean has displayed exceptional skills with the ball in his hands and returned his first career interception in the NFL for a touchdown. His ball skills stood out in Philadelphia last year (3 fumble recoveries, one forced fumble in the regular season), and DeJean was also highly effective in coverage. He’s a solid and aggressive tackler, making him the complete package as a cornerback.
DeJean’s usage will go a long way in determining his potential as a DPOY candidate, but there’s perhaps no better defensive unit right now, and DeJean benefits from playing under Fangio, who has had proven success coaching up the secondary. Like Carter, DeJean has a chance to build off a remarkable postseason performance and enters the 2025 season as one of the top defenders to watch.
FANDUEL Odds: +15000
Bet MGM Odds: +5000
My Pick for Offensive Rookie of the Year: Cameron Ward – Tennessee Titans QB
Like Jayden Daniels in 2024, Ward has a chance to help engineer a big turnaround for a struggling NFL franchise. Not only does Ward benefit from playing arguably the most valuable position in football, but he also displayed at the University of Miami an ability to be a force multiplier and make the players around him better.
In his record-breaking season last year at Miami, Ward became a weekly highlight reel, pulling off escape-acts in the pocket and providing off-script, big plays downfield. While Ward’s improvisation led to several turnovers and more than a few bad throws, his ability to make something out of nothing is remarkable, and could help him get off to another fast start in the NFL. The Tennessee Titans have spent the past two off-seasons retooling and tinkering with their offensive line, making several big signings and spending significant draft capital on the unit.
While the line struggled last year (left tackle was specifically a weakness), there’s reason to think that the unit will improve in 2025, especially given Ward’s mobility and pocket awareness. Last season, Ward improved in several categories, such as sacks taken (22), yards per attempt (9.5), passing touchdowns (39), passing yards (4,313) and completion percentage (67.2%). In fact, in Ward’s three years as a starter at the Power 4 level, he improved in several aspects and that steady improvement portends well for his projection to the next level. Ward, moreover, came to college as a Wishbone quarterback, and each year he has become more refined as a passer after relying heavily on his mobility early on in his college career.
Brian Callahan struggled to elevate Will Levis’ game and, at times, got frustrated with Levis’ decision-making. While Ward has to be safer with the football, Callahan’s track record with developing quarterbacks bodes well for the rookie’s chances to hit the ground running in Tennessee.
The Titans look to be improved in several areas, and they also benefit from playing in one of the weakest divisions in all of football. Though Daniels led his team to the playoffs last year, Ward likely won’t need Tennessee to make the postseason in order to get heavy consideration for OROY. He simply need to help the Titans get over the hump and return to being a contender in the AFC South. Although the run game has been inconsistent lately in Tennessee, the TItans’ receiver group looks to be improved and has a few veteran players to help make Ward’s transition to the next level that much smoother.
Even though he’s one of the top two favorites for the award, Ward is certainly worth consideration and is my pick for the NFL’s OROY in 2025.
FANDUEL Odds: +300
Bet MGM Odds: +350
Two Running Backs Who Could Win OROY
Kaleb Johnson – Pittsburgh Steelers RB
The Steelers have almost entirely reshaped their entire offense, aside from the offensive line. With Aaron Rodgers, DK Metcalf, Jonnu Smith, and Johnson in the fold, Pittsburgh has a chance to be drastically improved. At the very least, the Steelers are poised to be more consistent on offense than they have been in year’s past.
While Rodgers’ health will certainly be a question, the door is wide open for Johnson to get tons of carries as a rookie. At Iowa, Johnson carried a heavy load and was the Hawkeyes’ main weapon on offense. In 2024, he recorded runs of 40+ yards in six games. Johnson doesn’t have an elite second gear, and the speed of NFL defenses is much different than it is in college, but the rookie showed strong vision and at Iowa was able to be a one-cut-and-go kind of back.
Coming off a down year, Pittsburgh’s offensive line should be better overall, so long as injuries do not strike again. Furthermore, Rodgers has shown signs of regression as a passer in his last few years and has become more reliant on short and intermediate throws. With Arthur Smith’s scheme relying heavily on the run game and a significant dose of play action, there’s reason to think that the new pieces will gel and the offense clicks.
The schedule also sets up quite favorably for Pittsburgh’s offense, with several matchups against mediocre to subpar defenses. If things break right, Johnson could find himself in the thick of the OROY race as the season winds down.
FANDUEL Odds: +3300
Bet MGM Odds: +2500
TreVeyon Henderson – New England Patriots RB
The return of Josh McDaniels portends well for Henderson receiving heavy usage as a rookie in both the run and pass game.
Over the years, McDaniels was able to get the most out of his running backs in New England, with guys like Danny Woodhead and James White excelling as pass-catching options behind more bruising-type backs. White, especially, showed what a dual-threat running back can do in a McDaniels’ offense, and although they’re different types of players, Henderson has some of the juice and quickness that White displayed during his time in New England.
Henderson started his NFL career out with a bang, taking his first preseason touch and turning it into a touchdown. He did the same thing at Ohio State, turning his first offensive touch into a 70-yard touchdown.
Although he struggled to consistently be that game-breaking type of player, Henderson averaged 6.8 yards per carry or more in two of his four seasons at Ohio State and became a solid contributor in the passing game. Henderson also logged more than 100 carries in each of his four seasons at Ohio State, showing that he can handle a significant workload for an offense. Adding to Henderson’s chances of making an impact as a rookie is the fact that Rhamondre Stevenson struggled with ball security last season and could find his playing time usurped by Henderson if he can’t improve in this department.
No matter what, McDaniels has proven over his coaching career a desire to rely heavily on the run, and if Henderson can give the Patriots the sort of spark that they’ve lacked over the years, his chances of earning double-digit touches weekly appear high.
FANDUEL Odds: +1600
Bet MGM Odds: +1600
One Not So Long Shot for OROY:
Kyle Williams – New England Patriots WR
Despite there being other big-name receivers who went ahead of Williams in the draft, the former Washington State star has a chance to make an immediate impact in New England. New England’s offense, moreover, is trending upward and has a chance to be drastically improved in 2025 with players like Williams and Henderson in the fold.
In his breakout season at Washington State in 2024, Williams showed exceptional quickness and burst with the ball in his hands. His game is built on speed and finesse, though he displayed good hands in college and the ability to concentrate through the catch point. Washington State utilized a lot of downfield throws in Ben Arbuckle’s offense in 2024, and Williams averaged more than 17 yards per reception while recording 14 touchdowns.
Williams made several big plays in college, and last season at Washington State, he recorded a reception of 30+ yards in all but four games. The Cougars’ competition in 2024 was not elite by any means, but the nuances Williams showed as a route runner and his big-play ability bode well for him carving out a role early in New England. Although the season has yet to start, Williams has already been praised by Mike Vrabel for his efforts.
Like his fellow rookie at running back, Williams landed in an ideal spot with Josh McDaniels calling the shots, and he should be put in favorable matchups enough to make an impact. If New England makes the sort of turnaround under McDaniels that I expect, both Williams and Henderson should receive plenty of buzz for their contributions.
FANDUEL Odds: +7500
Bet MGM Odds: Not Listed
My Defensive Rookie of the Year Pick for 2025: Travis Hunter – Jacksonville Jaguars CB
The 2024 Heisman Trophy winner is special. While pass rushers get most of the attention and glory with these awards, Hunter has a set of skills that should translate to the NFL, and he will have plenty of opportunities to pop as a defender. As with last season at Colorado, Hunter might also receive some extra love from voters due to his contributions on offense (even though, unlike the Heisman, this is a purely defensive award).
From his early days at Jackson State, to his final two years at Colorado, Hunter has displayed rare athleticism and instincts as a football player. He has also benefited from learning under one of the best cornerbacks of his generation in Deion Sanders. Especially impressive is Hunter’s abilities as a cornerback, and his ability to make plays on the ball is exceptional. Several times last season, and throughout his college career, Hunter made highlight-reel catches and was excellent at the catch point as a defender and receiver.
Hunter did have a poor showing against future top-ten pick Tetairoa McMillan when the two faced off in 2024, but Hunter earns his glory more for his playmaking ability than his ability to be a complete eraser at cornerback. The NFL is a different speed, and Hunter’s straight-line speed is not his strongest trait, but the rookie cornerback enters the league with a direct path to being a starter and should be able to capitalize on what should be an improved defense, especially if the Jaguars’ pass rush can reach its potential.
FANDUEL Odds: +1300
Bet MGM Odds: +750
The Next Best Two DROY Candidates:
Abdul Carter – New York Giants EDGE
Carter, the third overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft, could have easily been the number one pick had it not been for the Tennessee Titans needing a quarterback and a rare, two-way player like Travis Hunter being draft-eligible. Carter’s blend of speed, finesse, and power is what made him so hard to defend at Penn State (24 tackles for loss in 2024).
It helps that Carter ended up in a great situation, with two Pro Bowl talents in Dexter Lawrence and Brian Burns, and a young, promising player in Kayvon Thibodeaux. Shane Bowen quietly helped turn around the Giants defense last year, even though they failed to prevent teams from scoring on them (21st in scoring). Under Bowen, the Giants’ pass rush flourished and New York recorded the third-most tackles for loss in the league while recording 45 sacks.
New York’s secondary remains a question, with young players like Dru Phillips and Deonte Banks each needing to take a step this season. The organization, however, addressed a glaring need at safety by signing Javon Holland to pair with Tyler Nubin and also added Paulson Adebo at corner. The secondary doesn’t need to be spectacular for Carter to have a monster season, but improved play from young corners would help the front seven feast again.
Carter comes into the 2025 season as the favorite, and there’s good reason to think he can wreak havoc in opposing backfields, especially given the talent around him and fit in Bowen’s scheme.
FANDUEL Odds: +185
Bet MGM Odds: +250
Jahdae Barron – Denver Broncos DB
Perhaps no other rookie defender is in a better spot to hit the ground running than Barron. While Travis Hunter has arguably the highest floor and ceiling combination, Barron brings to the table a versatile skill set and will be playing on what could wind up being the league’s top defense.
Last season, Patrick Surtain II took home DPOY honors, and Barron should benefit from playing alongside him and Riley Moss. Vance Joseph is back for his third year as defensive coordinator with the Broncos, and that continuity, plus Joseph’s track record as a coordinator, bodes well for Barron and the defense. In the previous two years under Joseph, the Broncos have forced the seventh most turnovers (50) and the second most sacks (105). The Broncos had two players earn double-digit sacks last year, and that trend should continue with the additions the team made on defense in the off-season. If the pass rush takes another step forward and wreaks havoc on opposing quarterbacks, players in the secondary should benefit.
Barron was a star at Texas, and he showed an ability to play all throughout the secondary. Early in his college career, Barron lit up the stat sheet with double-digit tackles for loss as a sophomore. He only improved as a defender, especially in coverage, and in 2024 put on his best season for the Longhorns on his way to earning All-America honors.
Barron has the fluidity, instincts, and physicality to hold up at the next level, and with the way that quarterbacks will likely look to avoid throwing at Surtain, Barron should have plenty of opportunities to break up passes and make plays on the ball.
FANDUEL Odds: +2000
Bet MGM Odds: +2200
One Not So Long Shot for DROY:
Will Johnson – Arizona Cardinals CB
After falling in the 2025 NFL Draft, Johnson is motivated to show why he could (and should have) been a top-15 selection.
Like others on this list, Johnson wound up in an ideal situation in Arizona. Although his draft slide had to do with injury concerns, Johnson is healthy and now has a clear path to being Arizona’s starting outside cornerback in Week 1. The Cardinals’ defense under Nick Rallis improved dramatically from year one to year two (Arizona finished second-last in scoring defense in 2023, and 15th in 2024). They’ve done that largely due to the complex scheme rather than the efforts of star players. Budda Baker has become a stalwart in the secondary, but the Cardinals have been searching for a difference-maker at cornerback.
Johnson was a shutdown corner at Michigan and excelled in zone coverage. He benefited from learning under longtime NFL coordinator Don (Wink) Martindale at Michigan, and showed an ability to make plays on the ball (two pick-sixes in 2024). Johnson’s knack for finding the ball and breaking up passes was evident in college, and he could flourish in a scheme that relies on mixed coverages and disguised looks.
The pass rush in Arizona looks to be improved, furthering Johnson’s chances of making an impact early on. So long as he can stay healthy, Johnson has a real chance of contributing in a big way for Arizona as a rookie.
FANDUEL Odds: +3000
Bet MGM Odds: +3000
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